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Sunday, May 22, 2011

Do New Dodd-Frank Regulations Impact REC and Allowance Markets?

Do New Dodd-Frank Regulations Impact REC and Allowance Markets?


Submitted by Claire Kreycik on Mon, 02/28/2011 - 10:59am

Financial reform is pervasive in the news as the government goes about implementing the Dodd-Frank Act—passed last July. A few months ago on this blog, Paul Scharfenberger reported on some of the most important potential repercussions of financial reform on the renewable energy industry, particularly in regards to tax equity project finance. Today, I will expand upon the issue of the swap clearing requirement that he mentioned. That is, will environmental commodities, like renewable energy certificates (RECs) and tradable emissions allowances, be regulated as securities under the Dodd-Frank Act?

Let me explain. The Dodd-Frank Act calls on the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) to craft regulations defining such terms as “swap,” “swap dealer,” and “major swap participant.” Additionally, the Dodd-Frank Act requires all derivatives and over-the-counter trades that are considered “swaps” to be cleared on an exchange. This requirement was set up to reduce the risk that one or more derivative dealers will fail to honor their trade settlement obligations.

Market Implications of the Clearing Requirement

It is possible that the clearing requirement could impact project economics for large and small developers, the development of REC and allowance markets, and the effectiveness of state renewable portfolio standards (RPS).

In a clearing house or exchange, participants are required to post collateral deposits to back up their traded commodities. At the project level, the clearing requirement would mean that a project LLC would need to tie up money as collateral if it relies on RECs or allowances as a revenue stream. This requirement could negatively impact project economics and the project’s competitiveness as compared with a project that does not rely on revenues from REC sales.

In future markets, this minimum margin requirement is typically from 5%–15% of the contract’s value. Imagine that a 100 MW wind farm (capacity factor 30%) trades a 5-year stream of RECs for $2/MWh. Using the range above, the collateral requirement for the trade could be between $130,000 and $395,000.

Furthermore, due to these additional transaction costs of the clearing requirement, smaller project developers may be barred from entry into the markets. In some jurisdictions, incentive programs for customer-sited solar projects based on the value of RECs have emerged (for example, New Jersey’s solar REC-only incentives). This type of incentive structure may not be as attractive if the transaction costs and complexity of selling RECs were increased. Additionally, the Environmental Marketing Association (EMA) further argues that the clearing requirement may“inhibit or stymie” the benefits of market-based renewable energy programs implemented by states (read: RPS) and may negatively impact the young environmental commodity markets.

End-user Exception

One final point to mention is Dodd-Frank end-user exception. Clearly laid out in the “Dodd-Lincoln Letter,” end users often use swaps to hedge or mitigate commercial risk, and the intent of the legislation is not to require such transactions to be cleared in an exchange. Since utilities are required by regulators to obtain RECs, bilateral REC trades with utilities as the counterparties would not need to be cleared on an exchange. The same is likely true of carbon allowances and verified emissions reductions if they were to be regulatory requirements.

Regulations in the Making

Final rules have been posted by the CFTC, but there is no clarity on whether or not RECs and allowances are classified as swaps, which would impose this “clearing requirement” on environmental markets. In the comment phase of the CFTC rulemaking last September, several parties argued that RECs and environmental allowances be excluded from the rule. EMA lawyersargued that these commodities do not fit the definition of a swap and should not be regulated as such.

It is unlikely that the CFTC and SEC will explicitly clarify whether these environmental markets are implicated by the clearing requirement in subsequent rulemakings. However, if the EMA’s legal argument is upheld, it would be unlikely that RECs and allowances will be considered swaps. Down the road, the issue may be resolved in the courts.



Monday, May 9, 2011

PJM Region Grows, But Ready For Hot Weather Power Demand

See more news releases in: Electrical Utilities, Oil & Energy, Utilities

 

PJM Region Grows, But Ready For Hot Weather Power Demand

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Recession Continues to Impact Summer Demand

VALLEY FORGE, Pa., May 9, 2011 /PRNewswire/ -- PJM Interconnection expects adequate resources this summer to meet consumers' use of electricity in its region, which includes 13 states and the District of Columbia. The peak demand for power this summer is estimated to reach 148,940 megawatts (MW), assuming typical summer peak weather conditions.

For the first time, PJM's summer forecast includes the transmission zones of American Transmission Systems Inc. and Cleveland Public Power, which will integrate into PJM June 1. Adjusting for this change, the anticipated load growth from 2010 to 2011 is 1.1 percent—down slightly from recent years due to the effects of the slower economy. 

The PJM region includes 54 million people and 20 percent of the U.S. economy.

"We expect to be able to manage the region's power needs because of ample reserves and the continuing success we've had with our demand response program, which was key last summer in managing the weeks of sustained high temperatures and electricity use," said Michael J. Kormos, PJM senior vice president – Operations. "In addition, transmission improvements from our regional planning process, including the completion of a major new transmission line, will improve the ability to meet electricity demand in the greater Baltimore-Washington areas."

The 500-kilovolt Trans Allegheny Line (TrAIL) from southwestern Pennsylvania to northern Virginia and upgrades to a Virginia substation are expected to be in service by the summer and will help relieve congestion of electricity transmission into Baltimore, Washington and northern Virginia.

Last year, consumers set a new record for summer energy use, using 203,945,861 megawatt-hours (MWh) of electricity. The previous record summer use was in 2005, with 203,415,406 MWh.
PJM has 180,400 MW of generation capacity to meet the demand for electricity this summer.
In addition, PJM expects to have a record amount of emergency load management along with energy efficiency of 12,222 MW. Consumers in load management programs typically receive either a special rate or payments for stopping or reducing their use of electricity under emergency conditions. The amount of emergency load management has grown about one-third since last year. It has grown seven-fold since 2006.
This summer's actual peak use could be higher or lower than predicted if temperatures are higher or lower than normal.

Peak electricity use in the PJM region is driven by high temperatures and economic conditions. PJM's forecast looks at a range of possible conditions to allow for variation in weather conditions. The forecast is based on typical peak weather conditions experienced over the past 37 years.  Actual electricity demand will vary as temperatures vary from normal.

PJM's all-time record use of electricity of 144,644 MW occurred in 2006.

PJM Interconnection, founded in 1927, ensures the reliability of the high-voltage electric power system serving 54 million people in all or parts of Delaware, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia and the District of Columbia. PJM coordinates and directs the operation of the region's transmission grid, which includes 6,038 substations and 56,500 miles of transmission lines; administers a competitive wholesale electricity market; and plans regional transmission expansion improvements to maintain grid reliability and relieve congestion. Visit PJM at http://www.pjm.com/.


SOURCE PJM Interconnection
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http://www.pjm.com/

Monday, May 2, 2011

Exelon and Constellation Energy to merge

Exelon and Constellation Energy to merge


The new company will retain Exelon's name and Chicago headquartersOn April 28th, 2011, Exelon Corporation (Chicago, Illinois, U.S.) and Constellation Energy Group Inc. (Baltimore, Maryland, U.S.) announced that they have signed a definitive agreement to combine the two companies in a stock-for-stock transaction.

The resulting company will retain Exelon's name and Chicago headquarters, with the newly consolidated renewable energy business headquartered in Baltimore.

"This merger creates the number one competitive energy provider with one of the industry's cleanest and lowest-cost power generation fleets and one of the largest commercial, industrial and residential customer bases in the United States," states Exelon Chairman and CEO John Rowe.

"Both Exelon and Constellation have demonstrated their commitment to sustainability and competitive markets, helping drive innovation, efficiency, customer choice and better rates."

Combined company to have 8% renewable energy generation

The resulting company will be the largest power producer in the United States by load, and the number two residential electricity and gas distribution company, with 6.6 million customers in the U.S. states of Maryland, Illinois and Pennsylvania.

BGE, ComEd and PECO, the new company's utilities, will remain standalone organizations.

This "new Exelon" will have a generation fleet that is 55% nuclear, 24% natural gas and 8% renewable energy, including hydroelectricity.

Exelon's Power Team power marketing business and Constellation's retail and wholesale business will be consolidated under the Constellation brand and will be headquartered in Baltimore.

Crane to become President and CEO of "new" Exelon

Constellation Chairman, President and CEO Mayo Shattuck will become the executive chairman of the combined company, and Exelon President and COO Christopher Crane will become President and CEO.

Exelon Chairman and CEO John Rowe will retire upon closing of the transaction.















2011-05-02
Courtesy: Exelon Corporation